Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.625722 1.710277 1.797621 1.894761 1.999985 2.110752 2.236468
2026-02-01 1.448250 1.566311 1.693485 1.841357 2.009454 2.195661 2.419010
2026-02-08 1.310266 1.445531 1.595748 1.776310 1.989307 2.234942 2.543166
2026-02-15 1.221208 1.369007 1.537259 1.745141 1.998175 2.300343 2.695056
2026-02-22 1.161213 1.319719 1.504063 1.737401 2.029496 2.389615 2.878080
2026-03-01 1.103006 1.267680 1.462597 1.714344 2.037066 2.446051 3.019559
2026-03-08 1.032858 1.196847 1.393490 1.651316 1.987821 2.423378 3.050231
2026-03-15 0.996667 1.165363 1.370564 1.644157 2.008543 2.491710 3.208428
2026-03-22 0.988069 1.167184 1.388646 1.689686 2.100237 2.660470 3.522583
2026-03-29 0.961844 1.145182 1.374748 1.691561 2.131808 2.746609 3.721682
2026-04-05 0.941465 1.129519 1.367910 1.701841 2.174634 2.850483 3.956210
2026-04-12 0.917850 1.108520 1.352838 1.699589 2.198765 2.927505 4.154270
2026-04-19 0.885571 1.076790 1.324522 1.680904 2.202910 2.982104 4.334662
2026-04-26 0.849874 1.039523 1.287608 1.648802 2.186127 3.004512 4.465912
2026-05-03 0.809771 0.994980 1.239064 1.597749 2.137846 2.973643 4.500422
2026-05-10 0.781419 0.965219 1.209555 1.572537 2.126981 3.001428 4.643399
2026-05-17 0.761486 0.946082 1.193839 1.566392 2.144689 3.076686 4.883469
2026-05-24 0.738468 0.921868 1.169968 1.546803 2.139668 3.112773 5.051813
2026-05-31 0.705725 0.883254 1.124433 1.492755 2.076487 3.044273 5.002439
2026-06-07 0.689933 0.867663 1.111060 1.486618 2.090199 3.110428 5.237243
2026-06-14 0.688893 0.872528 1.127005 1.525736 2.180183 3.319534 5.808076
2026-06-21 0.676762 0.861305 1.119113 1.527347 2.207252 3.415818 6.145967
2026-06-28 0.667342 0.853598 1.116006 1.536167 2.246892 3.538873 6.567627